2015: Over 300,000 first time buyers for second year in succession

Posted on Monday, January 18, 2016

The Halifax has revealed that during 2015, first-time-buyer numbers hit 310,000.

Although this represents a marginal decline (-0.5%) from 311,700 in 2014 - the first annual decline in the number of first-time buyers since 2011 - the number has grown by almost two-thirds (60%) since 2011, from 193,700 to 310,000. The marginal decline in first-time buyers is in line with general residential house purchases, and is partly due to lack of supply.

The average price paid by first-time buyers increased by 10% in 2015, from £172,563 to £190,180; taking the price above the previous peak in 2007 (£174,994) for the first time.

The average first-time buyer deposit in 2015 was £32,927; 13% higher than in 2014 (£29,094) and 88% higher than the average deposit in 2007 (£17,499). In the South East the average deposit paid rose by 24% in the past year, from £35,582 to £44,024.

Whilst a mortgage term of 25 years has been the norm for some time, many first-time buyers are increasingly taking out mortgages where payments are spread over a longer period. In 2007 the proportion of first-time buyers taking up a 35-year mortgage stood at 16%. By 2015 this figure had grown to over one-in-four (26%). Over the same period, the share of mortgages with a 20 to 25 year term dropped from 48% to 30%.

Despite higher house prices, the proportion of disposable earnings devoted to mortgage payments by a first-time buyer stood at 32% in 2015 Q3. This is a substantial improvement compared with the summer of 2007 when this figure reached a peak of 50%. Record low mortgage rates, coupled with earnings growth, are the key drivers behind this improvement.

Craig McKinlay, Mortgages Director at Halifax, commented: "For the second year in succession, the number of buyers getting on the first rung of the housing ladder has reached 310,000. Although the average price of the typical first-time buyer home has grown by 10% in the past year, the number of buyers taking that first step onto the housing ladder has been supported by favourable economic conditions; namely, record low mortgage rates, rising employment and real pay growth.”

First-time buyers accounted for 46% of all house purchases made with a mortgage in 2015; the same as in 2014. This share has grown from 36% at the start of the housing downturn in 2007.

First-time buyers were also boosted by Stamp Duty changes in December 2014. The largest saving is made by first-time buyers in London with someone buying at the average first-time buyer price of £367,990 now paying £8,399 in stamp duty fees compared to £11,039 before the change – a difference of £2,640.

Craig McKinlay continued: "Whilst affordability has improved since 2007, in many parts of the country the ratio of the average house price to earnings is still significantly above the long-term average of 4.0. This is a concern as it could prevent many potential buyers from entering the market."

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