House price expectations 'on the increase'

Posted on Monday, March 16, 2020

House price expectations are on the increase, according to the latest data from the BSA - four in 10 people think property prices will rise in the next year, up from 28% in December. Just 17% think prices will fall in that time - down from 26% in December.

Housing market sentiment is positive for the first time in three years. The net figure (those who disagree minus those who agree that ‘now is a good time to buy’) stands at +2% which is up from -8% in December, and is the first time this figure has been positive since March 2017.

Brexit (46%) and the General Election result (41%) are the main reasons behind among those with increased optimism when asked whether ‘now is a better or worse time to buy a property than three months ago’.

Interestingly, those who are more pessimistic towards the market than in December specified the same reasons behind their answer - Brexit (64%), the worsened economic environment (42%) and the General Election result (33%).

Just over a quarter (28%) of people that are more pessimistic now than in December said this is due to concerns over COVID-19, coronavirus.

Paul Broadhead, BSA Head of Mortgages & Housing comments:

“It is encouraging to see housing market sentiment pick up in the first Property Tracker survey of 2020. Here’s hoping the trend continues.

“The polarisation of the nation when it comes to both Brexit and last year’s election means it is hardly surprising that these key events are behind why people think it is a better - or indeed worse – time to buy a property than it was three months ago.

“We will be keeping a weather eye on the impact coronavirus has on the housing market. Reassuringly, these results show that, for now, it is a relatively low concern for people in terms of the housing market. People who are concerned about the coronavirus and meeting their mortgage repayments are encouraged to speak to their lender.”

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